The next big winner.
Before the crowd.
Every couple of days we scan the US small-cap market and share our best stock picks. Plain English. For people who don't want jargon — but do want the difference between smart-money positioning and social-media hype.
Picks every 2 days
5-8 curated picks with thesis, risks, and sources. Plain English.
Risk Score
A daily 1-10 score for how much risk is in the market. Sparkline included.
Macro trends
Which themes are early in the curve, and which are already late.
Recent picks
What we're watching
Risk score today
Quantitative crash/recession risk screens moderately elevated at 6.4/10 with deteriorating momentum across multiple flags. The yield curve remains deeply inverted (2s10s at -30bps, 3m10y at -80bps) maintaining its strongest warning signal at 7.5/10, while credit spreads have stopped tightening and begun widening from recent lows despite remaining below stress levels at 360-380bps HY OAS. Market breadth remains concerning with top-10 S&P 500 concentration at 33-34% and only 55-60% of constituents above 200-day MAs, while liquidity conditions stay constrained under ongoing QT and tight lending standards. Narrative reading not available this brief.
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